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Post by Deleted on Feb 12, 2019 14:06:54 GMT -5
ESPN BPI projects Siena with a 29.9% chance of winning conf regular season title, Canisius has most favorable schedule down the stretch and is listed as favorite with 44.9% chance. A win over Iona tomorrow would all but clinch a top 5 spot - with a 3 game lead over Iona ( effectively 4 since we would own tiebreaker) with 5 games to go. Siena would also own tiebreaker over Rider- 9 wins might get top 5, 10 wins should definitely do it RK TEAM CONF W-L PROJ W-L CONF W-L PROJ CONF W-L WIN CONF (REG) REM SOS RK 1 Canisius MAAC 11-13 14.7-15.3 8-4 11.7-6.3 44.9% 316 2 Monmouth MAAC 10-16 12.3-18.7 9-4 11.3-6.7 29.9% 295 3 Siena MAAC 13-12 16.3-14.7 8-4 11.2-6.8 29.9% 306 4 Quinnipiac MAAC 12-10 16.1-12.9 7-4 11.1-6.9 28.3% 307 5 Rider MAAC 12-12 16.1-13.9 7-5 11.1-6.9 23.6% 299 6 Iona MAAC 8-15 11.2-17.8 6-6 9.2-8.8 1.7% 265 7 Marist MAAC 10-14 13.1-16.9 5-7 8.1-9.9 0.2% 276 8 Niagara MAAC 11-14 13.9-17.1 4-8 6.9-11.1 <0.1% 293 9 Manhattan MAAC 7-17 8.6-21.4 5-7 6.6-11.4 <0.1% 278 10 Fairfield MAAC 7-18 9.4-20.6 4-9 6.4-11.6 <0.1% 302 11 Saint Peter's MAAC 6-17 8.4-21.6 3-8 5.4-12.6 <0.1% 286 Time to break out bracket matrix. Siena is listed on seven different brackets, and climbing. www.bracketmatrix.comLet the good times roll again....
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skipc
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Post by skipc on Feb 12, 2019 15:22:59 GMT -5
KK you don't mention Camper very much. For games played he is the 2nd or 3rd leading rebounder; 1st in offensive rebounds; is certainly a decent defender. His major flaw is he can't shoot foul shots. I don't understand how that can't be fixed. I've watched him in a couple of games and he certainly has better form than Shaq. As a matter of fact it's not terrible at all. It just doesn't go in the basket. . Unfortunately his form is not consistent. Not sure if it’s concentration but it seems like it could be fixed with repetition. Most misses are the same- off the back iron- never to the left or right- just back iron. If he moved two inches off the free throw line this would seem to correct itself.
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Post by greenblood on Feb 12, 2019 15:42:21 GMT -5
If he would stop overthinking it and relied on muscle memory it would help.
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Post by Deleted on Feb 12, 2019 16:00:55 GMT -5
If he would stop overthinking it and relied on muscle memory it would help. What if all your muscles remember is failure? I really grooved a shank in golf once. I can do it on command at any time. The one that lands 2 feet next to the hole... that one I never remember.
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Post by diamonddog on Feb 12, 2019 17:43:36 GMT -5
If he would stop overthinking it and relied on muscle memory it would help. What if all your muscles remember is failure? I really grooved a shank in golf once. I can do it on command at any time. The one that lands 2 feet next to the hole... that one I never remember. Good to have KK back- I agree that putting Smithen and Camper in the same lineup has worked well due to their defense. I really do wonder if Darwiche can figure it out, but he is a freshman. I agree that hopefully Ratliff and Friday can provide some support as the potential 7th and 8th on the bench. I'm not sold with Darwiche, Tchougang, Bayer, Huerter as those backups. It does help that the conference is down. Some of these box scores remind me of AAU/Varsity Basketball. But we're winning, right?
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Post by Deleted on Feb 12, 2019 18:18:28 GMT -5
If he would stop overthinking it and relied on muscle memory it would help. What if all your muscles remember is failure? I really grooved a shank in golf once. I can do it on command at any time. The one that lands 2 feet next to the hole... that one I never remember. I think most are referring to the muscles and muscle groups below the neck and not the one between the ears that also impacts what used to be my golf swing...could never clear the thought pattern of - approach the ball, take your stance, waggle, take a deep breath, exhale, relax, execute a controlled backswing, picture the shot, start the downswing, and then beat the living crap out of that little white ball - followed up with the question "Did anyone see where it went?"
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mike60
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Post by mike60 on Feb 12, 2019 18:22:00 GMT -5
You know maybe Ensor can give Goodel some advice on how to bring about parity in a league.
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Post by greenblood on Feb 12, 2019 18:50:43 GMT -5
If he would stop overthinking it and relied on muscle memory it would help. What if all your muscles remember is failure? I really grooved a shank in golf once. I can do it on command at any time. The one that lands 2 feet next to the hole... that one I never remember. I can screw up any golf shot, but I was never a D-1 golfer! I know he's practicing foul shots and is ok until on the line in game taking waaayy toooo long to think it over.
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glen
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Post by glen on Feb 13, 2019 8:08:03 GMT -5
I'm very happy with where Siena is at this year but I would remind people that the league is WAAAAAY down from prior years. I'm not sure we do this well if we were playing in last year's MAAC. I know everyone hates Jimmy but he'd probably have managed about the same record this year.
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mike60
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Post by mike60 on Feb 13, 2019 8:38:02 GMT -5
Do you mean as last year or do you mean what JC has done this year. If you mean the latter what do you base it on?
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stbernie
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Post by stbernie on Feb 13, 2019 8:46:01 GMT -5
I'm very happy with where Siena is at this year but I would remind people that the league is WAAAAAY down from prior years. I'm not sure we do this well if we were playing in last year's MAAC. I know everyone hates Jimmy but he'd probably have managed about the same record this year. All due respect, I disagree with you completely. Jimmy would have never brought in guys like Pickett and Seymour and would have kept Evan shooting from outside. Oh and I forgot Camper never played and he certainly influences every game for us on the defensive end. MAAC is down for sure, but we also would not be looking up to next year the way we are now. I said it in November and I'll say it again, few have any idea how good this team will be next year. Pickett, Carey and Burns might be the most dynamic trio we have ever had (no disrespect to 2008-2010). Those guys and walker are all a step ahead of some of the guys we have currently. I'm getting ahead of myself so lets just enjoy tonight, but no Jimmy never had a chance to get these guys playing the way they are now. Everyone wants to play for Jamion and we are seeing the results of that with the effort we are getting and the high level recruits we are seeing. Burns is easily the best center we have ever had and Walker might be the most athletic and talented player...Just wait and see.
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skipc
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Post by skipc on Feb 13, 2019 9:22:53 GMT -5
What if all your muscles remember is failure? I really grooved a shank in golf once. I can do it on command at any time. The one that lands 2 feet next to the hole... that one I never remember. I think most are referring to the muscles and muscle groups below the neck and not the one between the ears that also impacts what used to be my golf swing...could never clear the thought pattern of - approach the ball, take your stance, waggle, take a deep breath, exhale, relax, execute a controlled backswing, picture the shot, start the downswing, and then beat the living crap out of that little white ball - followed up with the question "Did anyone see where it went?" And to think, all that happens in less than 5 seconds.
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Quackman
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Post by Quackman on Feb 13, 2019 9:35:03 GMT -5
I'm very happy with where Siena is at this year but I would remind people that the league is WAAAAAY down from prior years. I'm not sure we do this well if we were playing in last year's MAAC. I know everyone hates Jimmy but he'd probably have managed about the same record this year. I don't get the "yeah but" argument at all. Siena is winning the games that are in front of them, they cannot control how good the other teams are. And like it or not, Siena is in the MAAC and this is their competition. No one is saying this is an all time great Siena team ... just one that is way surpassing expectations and is fun to watch. Huge game tonight. Win, and top 5 is virtually assured. Lose and the PIG comes back into play.
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Post by Deleted on Feb 13, 2019 10:26:59 GMT -5
I'm very happy with where Siena is at this year but I would remind people that the league is WAAAAAY down from prior years. I'm not sure we do this well if we were playing in last year's MAAC. I know everyone hates Jimmy but he'd probably have managed about the same record this year. All due respect, I disagree with you completely. Jimmy would have never brought in guys like Pickett and Seymour and would have kept Evan shooting from outside. Oh and I forgot Camper never played and he certainly influences every game for us on the defensive end. MAAC is down for sure, but we also would not be looking up to next year the way we are now. I said it in November and I'll say it again, few have any idea how good this team will be next year. Pickett, Carey and Burns might be the most dynamic trio we have ever had (no disrespect to 2008-2010). Those guys and walker are all a step ahead of some of the guys we have currently. I'm getting ahead of myself so lets just enjoy tonight, but no Jimmy never had a chance to get these guys playing the way they are now. Everyone wants to play for Jamion and we are seeing the results of that with the effort we are getting and the high level recruits we are seeing. Burns is easily the best center we have ever had and Walker might be the most athletic and talented player...Just wait and see. There are a lot of 'ifs' with regards to what Patsos would or would not have accomplished. It's possible that both Penn and Pickett could have been on the Siena roster even if Patsos was still here. However, what you certainly can't say for sure is that he'd have managed it correctly. Patsos was stubborn, emotional, and not all that smart with managing his team. He'd have found a way to screw things up.
With that said, Glen is absolutely right about the league being 'WAAAAAY down'. Most years, a team with a 246th Kenpom ranking is about 10-21. Siena is on pace for 16+ wins this year.
Part of Jamion's success this year is no doubt the fact that the rest of the MAAC has fallen to Siena's level. That's pretty much a fact.
As a coach, Jamion still has a lot to work on...most notably offensive efficiency. As I've said since the day he took the job, he is a coach whose offenses have a style and an average historical efficiency somewhat comparable to one Sydney Johnson. Coincidentally, Siena and FF have a nearly identical PPS this year (1.18)...tied for 2nd to last in the MAAC ahead of only Manhattan. Most years, in both the NEC and MAAC....that's going to be last in your conference.
Jamion will have to get to the FT line more in order to eventually meet the true expectations that most on this board will create for him.
With guys like Carey, Walker, and Burns next year AND a much better FT shooting team in general, I HOPE that Siena will get a lot more pts from the FT line next year. However, it's no guarantee.
Remember, making 40% of your 3's only creates a PPS of 1.20. Around 1.30 is what it takes to be a truly good offense in most conferences...otherwise....they better make it up in defense and creating more possessions thru rebounding/TO margin. It takes the right combination of 3's, layups, and FTs to get to 1.30. JC needs to work to get there.
Until Jamion has a good grasp on what he needs to do to get that kind of efficiency, Siena can't afford to play too fast. The more shots Siena takes when they have a lesser PPS than their competition ...the more they're open to being overcome due to PPS differential.
Playing slow is not just about the personnel for JC. There are issues like this to consider.
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saints22
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Post by saints22 on Feb 13, 2019 10:37:03 GMT -5
Pickett, Carey and Burns might be the most dynamic trio we have ever had (no disrespect to 2008-2010). Burns is easily the best center we have ever had and Walker might be the most athletic and talented player...Just wait and see. Whoa, there, Bernie. Those are two pretty interesting statements. I guess we'll just have to "wait and see" as you say. But Hasbrouck, Franklin and Ubiles were a pretty "dynamic trio" themselves, and have three consecutive NCAA Tournament appearances (including two first-round wins) on their resumes. And throw in Ronald Moore and Ryan Rossiter, too, with any of the other three, and you still have a pretty "dynamic trio". I've never seen Elijah Burns play, but to say that he ".....is easily the best center we have ever had".......well, I'm not so sure about that. I hope he is outstanding for us next year (assuming he stays and plays), but until proven otherwise, Ryan Rossiter is the best center who has ever played at Siena. A guy who was MAAC Player of the Year, as Ryan was, has some pretty decent credentials.
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