Post by Deleted on May 18, 2016 13:57:30 GMT -5
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May 18, 2016 10:52:43 GMT -5 @saintkk said:
Monmouth vs. SienaBoards = Siena
Steals = Monmouth (Siena could close gap with Wright for a full year, and not having Oliver)
Blocks = Siena
APG = Siena
Ball control = Monmouth(Wright as PG ....)
FG% = Siena
FT% = Monmouth
FTA = Siena (neck & neck but Oliver never attacked)
3pt% = Siena by a nose (but we lose Oliver)
Effective FG% Defense = Monmouth (ranked 26, us 57th) We get more athletic and get WB back.
Fouling = Monmouth
Siena is neck and neck with Monmouth but has a big advantage on the interior impact wise. Bisping and JO had some good games against them.
If Siena fixes the turnover margin disparity, Monmouth loses its primary advantage. They depend on turning steals into points and not allowing their opponents to do the same to them. They depend on the turnover margin game as much as Siena depends on the rebound margin game.
By improving this we simultaneously improve ourselves and diminish their strengths. Even this out, and Siena wins because of the rest of their strengths.
Monmouth also has to make the decision on which direction to go post-Deon Jones. Guard or big? I'm not sure they have anyone who can do both as effectively as he could.
We can overcome that with better 2 pt shooting and rebounding, but we can't afford to give them extra chances and good looks in transition.
Siena's Points per Shot was 1.33 to Monmouth's 1.30.
Siena was the most efficient offense in the MAAC on a per shot basis:
Monmouth scored 1.2 more PPG because they turn it over less than we outrebound and outshoot them.
If Siena turned 3 of their 16 turnovers per game into 3 more shots...they just picked up 4 ppg. (1.33*3)
All of sudden, they'd have a scoring margin of 82.2 to 73....+9.2. That's approaching Fran 2009-10 range.