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Post by MTS on Feb 2, 2017 11:58:40 GMT -5
No question this year's home schedule was very weak but overall the non-conference was really good. Look at it this way Siena is only 10-13 yet according to RPI Forecast their current RPI is 147 with a SOS of 112 overall and a non-conference SOS of 49. To date Siena's played a top 50 non-league schedule that doesn't happen that often. Had we lived up to the expectations we'd be taking borderline at-large team (bubble is weak this year) and possible 10, 11 or 12 seed and that's no joke. If you play around with the RPI wizard - had Siena finished 24-7 their final RPI was projected to be 29, 23-8 35, 22-9 44 and 21-10 53. Those records is what most Siena fans were projecting/hoping for back in October. As it stands now if Siena were to finish 16-15 (6-2 finish) the projected RPI is 123 and with three wins in the tournament potentially spikes near 100. We won't be going to Dayton in fact probably would be a 15 seed with an outside chance of a 14 depending on other tournaments. I know, that's a long ways off....I'm not confident this coach could pull it off but fact is it is still on the table. With home court and four seniors stranger things have happened! www.rpiforecast.com/teams/Siena.html |
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Post by hoopsforever on Feb 2, 2017 12:42:33 GMT -5
MTS - thanks for that link - GREAT site that rpiforecast.com site! Interesting their projections of MAAC finishing conference records:
RPIFORECAST projections of final MAAC records:
Monmouth 16-4
Iona 14-6
St. Peters 13-7
Siena 12-8
Canisius 11-9
Fairfield 10-10
Rider 10-10
Quinnipiac 9-11
Niagara 7-13
Manhattan 5-15
Marist 5-15
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gorvy
Associate Head Coach
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Post by gorvy on Feb 2, 2017 17:12:02 GMT -5
No question this year's home schedule was very weak but overall the non-conference was really good. Look at it this way Siena is only 10-13 yet according to RPI Forecast their current RPI is 147 with a SOS of 112 overall and a non-conference SOS of 49. To date Siena's played a top 50 non-league schedule that doesn't happen that often. Had we lived up to the expectations we'd be taking borderline at-large team (bubble is weak this year) and possible 10, 11 or 12 seed and that's no joke. If you play around with the RPI wizard - had Siena finished 24-7 their final RPI was projected to be 29, 23-8 35, 22-9 44 and 21-10 53. Those records is what most Siena fans were projecting/hoping for back in October. As it stands now if Siena were to finish 16-15 (6-2 finish) the projected RPI is 123 and with three wins in the tournament potentially spikes near 100. We won't be going to Dayton in fact probably would be a 15 seed with an outside chance of a 14 depending on other tournaments. I know, that's a long ways off....I'm not confident this coach could pull it off but fact is it is still on the table. With home court and four seniors stranger things have happened! www.rpiforecast.com/teams/Siena.html. I agree the schedule is the least of my concerns. The 10 game maac home schedule plus the glens falls issue are hopefully behind us now. |
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SIENA1971
Assistant Coach
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Post by SIENA1971 on Feb 3, 2017 12:44:21 GMT -5
Siena: Per the latest NCAA RPI report, @sienambb has played the 87th toughest schedule overall and the 32nd toughest non-conference schedule
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gorvy
Associate Head Coach
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Post by gorvy on Feb 3, 2017 12:53:49 GMT -5
It's not just playing the games, you have to win some too. The schedule was set up perfectly for a strong home record and rpi building wins. It just didn't happen. One thing I would change going forward is dependence on non- neutral preseason tourneys.
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hoopjunkie
Associate Head Coach
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Post by hoopjunkie on Feb 9, 2017 21:31:19 GMT -5
Another huge win for one of our OOC opponents with UNC Asheville beating Winthrop in 2OT tonight.
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Post by MTS on Feb 9, 2017 21:58:51 GMT -5
Another huge win for one of our OOC opponents with UNC Asheville beating Winthrop in 2OT tonight. Despite being 11-14 Siena's RPI is currently around 145. Had Siena had the projected "big" season we were hoping for and we're say 20-5 or 19-6 we'd be in the mix for an at-large bid. |
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glen
Team Captain
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Post by glen on Feb 10, 2017 7:21:20 GMT -5
Possibly MTS, but minimally we'd be seeded no worse than 13 and maybe 11 or 12. That's where not just attending the dance but going a few rounds comes into play.
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Post by greenblood on Feb 10, 2017 8:06:44 GMT -5
This is why every game matters.
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Post by psycholojets on Feb 10, 2017 8:55:08 GMT -5
Yes but, given Nico's recovery from surgery and JP's efforts at reigning in Lavon early in the season, we stated slowly.
Sent from my SM-G900P using proboards
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siena77
Sophomore
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Post by siena77 on Feb 10, 2017 11:12:54 GMT -5
Yes but, given Nico's recovery from surgery and JP's efforts at reigning in Lavon early in the season, we stated slowly. Sent from my SM-G900P using proboards We start slowly EVERY YEAR! And we hear it's all about getting ready for the MAAC. |
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Post by psycholojets on Feb 10, 2017 11:38:57 GMT -5
Root for Kentucky
Sent from my SM-G900P using proboards
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gorvy
Associate Head Coach
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Post by gorvy on Feb 10, 2017 18:32:28 GMT -5
Root for Kentucky Sent from my SM-G900P using proboards . Out of arguments I guess. Nonetheless you are correct fans are leaving in droves. |
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