OneIndian
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Post by OneIndian on Dec 14, 2016 13:05:14 GMT -5
The MAAC is a one hit wonder. Two teams ain't gonna happen. Last year is proof and the NCAA Committee isn't gonna do any favors for Monmouth. It almost happened twice in the past five years but clearly it aint gonna happen. The win at Memphis will put Monmouth squarely on the bubble if they finish with 5 or 6 losses and make a respectable showing at North Carolina. Yup, and as usual the bubble will go "POP"
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$cott
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Post by $cott on Dec 14, 2016 13:58:13 GMT -5
It almost happened twice in the past five years but clearly it aint gonna happen. The win at Memphis will put Monmouth squarely on the bubble if they finish with 5 or 6 losses and make a respectable showing at North Carolina. Yup, and as usual the bubble will go "POP" Only reason they didn't make it last year was the 3 losses to RPI 200+ teams. As long as they make sure their MAAC losses aren't bad ones they will be fine at 26-5 and still have a good shot at 25-6.
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gorvy
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Post by gorvy on Dec 14, 2016 18:32:17 GMT -5
Yup, and as usual the bubble will go "POP" Only reason they didn't make it last year was the 3 losses to RPI 200+ teams. As long as they make sure their MAAC losses aren't bad ones they will be fine at 26-5 and still have a good shot at 25-6. That would mean going 12-0 against Siena Quinny manhatthan St. Peter's niagara and Marist, including 6-0 on the road.
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Post by diamonddog on Dec 14, 2016 20:34:30 GMT -5
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gorvy
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Post by gorvy on Dec 14, 2016 21:27:00 GMT -5
The 41:09 is most damning and the reason why they are 3-7 and not 7-3. This lineup should be in there at least 50 percent and especially in beginning and end of games.
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musicman
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Post by musicman on Dec 15, 2016 0:35:23 GMT -5
Great article. Thank you for posting it. It says a lot.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Dec 15, 2016 3:07:46 GMT -5
Telling and disappointing.
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Post by Tony on Dec 15, 2016 4:59:20 GMT -5
The 41:09 is most damning and the reason why they are 3-7 and not 7-3. This lineup should be in there at least 50 percent and especially in beginning and end of games. Production outside the top 5 is close to non existent. So couple starters not playing with weak bench and you get 3-7
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$cott
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Post by $cott on Dec 15, 2016 10:11:01 GMT -5
Only reason they didn't make it last year was the 3 losses to RPI 200+ teams. As long as they make sure their MAAC losses aren't bad ones they will be fine at 26-5 and still have a good shot at 25-6. That would mean going 12-0 against Siena Quinny manhatthan St. Peter's niagara and Marist, including 6-0 on the road. That is generally what it takes to go 18-2 in conference. Also, RPIForecast has Siena finshing 15-16 and an expected RPI of 141 so doubtful if Siena is good enough to beat Monmouth that they are going to wind up with an RPI over 200.
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gorvy
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Post by gorvy on Dec 15, 2016 13:16:21 GMT -5
Just pointing out how difficult it is for any team to avoid outside 200 losses in the Maac. Pretty much any team in the country outside the top 10 would struggle going 12-0 versus that schedule. If they do it I'll be rooting for them to get in. Again, once they tweak the scheduling they won't have to play as many games.
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$cott
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Post by $cott on Dec 15, 2016 15:57:41 GMT -5
Just pointing out how difficult it is for any team to avoid outside 200 losses in the Maac. Pretty much any team in the country outside the top 10 would struggle going 12-0 versus that schedule. If they do it I'll be rooting for them to get in. Again, once they tweak the scheduling they won't have to play as many games. I think Monmouth would have been forgiven last year for one and maybe even both bad conference losses. It was those two with the bad loss to Army that doomed them.
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gorvy
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Post by gorvy on Dec 15, 2016 17:34:39 GMT -5
You might be right. Also I do agree with you that programs that string consecutive quality seasons tend to get a more favorable outcome the second time around.
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glen
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Post by glen on Dec 15, 2016 20:03:12 GMT -5
The selection committee will show them much more favor this year. They get in as a 12 if they have another season like last year.
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